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PURCOF.OUT
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[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run PUR Program COF 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 1
[]
[] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 32790
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS
File of DATED series: PUR.rwl
CONTENTS:
Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series
Part 2: Histogram of time spans
Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year
Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series
Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master
Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers
Part 7: Descriptive statistics
RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE
1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering
32 years
2 Segments examined are 32 years lagged successively by 16 years
3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing
4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing
5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative)
Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .4093
6 Master dating series saved N
7 Ring measurements listed N
8 Parts printed 1234567
9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y)
Time span of Master dating series is 1811 to 2021 211 years
Continuous time span is 1811 to 2021 211 years
Portion with two or more series is 1847 to 2021 175 years
>> pub27x 1959 absent in 2 of 26 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .054
>> pub29x 1959 absent in 2 of 26 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .054
****************************************
*C* Number of dated series 26 *C*
*O* Master series 1811 2021 211 yrs *O*
*F* Total rings in all series 3481 *F*
*E* Total dated rings checked 3445 *E*
*C* Series intercorrelation .819 *C*
*H* Average mean sensitivity .403 *H*
*A* Segments, possible problems 1 *A*
*** Mean length of series 133.9 ***
****************************************
ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year)
pub20x 4 absent rings: 1975 1986 1995 1997
pub21x 2 absent rings: 1975 1986
pub25x 1 absent rings: 1986
pub27x 4 absent rings: 1959 1966 1971 1986
pub28x 4 absent rings: 1971 1973 1995 1997
pub29x 7 absent rings: 1959 1966 1973 1975 1986 1995 1997
pub30x 3 absent rings: 1975 1995 1997
pub34x 1 absent rings: 1975
pub39x 4 absent rings: 1973 1975 1980 1986
pub40x 1 absent rings: 1997
pub42x 1 absent rings: 1997
pub43x 3 absent rings: 1975 1986 1997
35 absent rings 1.005%
PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs
: : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ----
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . pub03x 1 1873 2021 149
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========> . pub05x 2 1938 2021 84
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . pub06x 3 1890 2021 132
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============> . pub07x 4 1882 2021 140
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======> . pub10x 5 1948 2021 74
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . pub20x 6 1850 2021 172
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . pub21x 7 1892 2021 130
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . pub25x 8 1847 2021 175
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===============> . pub27x 9 1867 2021 155
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . pub28x 10 1849 2021 173
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===============> . pub29x 11 1865 2021 157
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . pub30x 12 1857 2021 165
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<====================> . pub34x 13 1811 2021 211
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================> . pub37x 14 1847 2021 175
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . pub39x 15 1897 2021 125
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . pub40x 16 1874 2021 148
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========> . pub42x 17 1909 2021 113
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . pub43x 18 1893 2021 129
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<==========> . pub44x 19 1918 2021 104
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <============> . pub46x 20 1898 2021 124
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========> . pub50x 21 1930 2021 92
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <======> . pub52x 22 1951 2021 71
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================> . pub57x 23 1854 2021 168
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========> . pub582x 24 1936 2021 86
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============> . pub59x 25 1874 2021 148
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=======> . puub32x 26 1941 2021 81
: : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : :
1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
PART 3: Master Dating Series: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 3
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab
------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------
1850 .962 5 1900 -.089 18 1950 -1.283 25 2000 -.858 26
1851 1.225 5 1901 -.692 18 1951 -.799 26 2001 -1.693 26
1852 -.173 5 1902 .853 18 1952 .559 26 2002 -.777 26
1853 .917 5 1903 -1.575 18 1953 1.025 26 2003 .351 26
1854 .487 6 1904 -.110 18 1954 .610 26 2004 .469 26
1855 -3.172 6 1905 .128 18 1955 .916 26 2005 -.657 26
1856 .845 6 1906 -.826 18 1956 1.604 26 2006 .536 26
1857 -1.030 7 1907 -.487 18 1957 .692 26 2007 .977 26
1858 -.227 7 1908 .140 18 1958 .563 26 2008 1.702 26
1859 .314 7 1909 .588 19 1959 .054 26 2<< 2009 -.382 26
1860 -.818 7 1910 -.576 19 1960 -.554 26 2010 -.702 26
1811 1.833 1 1861 .465 7 1911 1.169 19 1961 .091 26 2011 .190 26
1812 .486 1 1862 -.568 7 1912 -.462 19 1962 -.736 26 2012 1.342 26
1813 .848 1 1863 -1.105 7 1913 .870 19 1963 .631 26 2013 .932 26
1814 -.422 1 1864 -.851 7 1914 -3.447 19 1964 1.222 26 2014 .518 26
1815 .044 1 1865 .077 8 1915 .753 19 1965 1.482 26 2015 .741 26
1816 -.411 1 1866 .740 8 1916 .181 19 1966 -.457 26 2 2016 .142 26
1817 -1.089 1 1867 -1.674 9 1917 .043 19 1967 .651 26 2017 -.181 26
1818 -.696 1 1868 .612 9 1918 -.314 20 1968 -1.135 26 2018 .662 26
1819 -.936 1 1869 .396 9 1919 -.862 20 1969 .284 26 2019 -.943 26
1820 -.959 1 1870 1.543 9 1920 -.751 20 1970 -.640 26 2020 -3.050 26
1821 -1.249 1 1871 1.301 9 1921 .331 20 1971 -1.012 26 2 2021 .063 26
1822 .686 1 1872 1.464 9 1922 1.200 20 1972 -.416 26
1823 1.614 1 1873 .076 10 1923 1.603 20 1973 -1.898 26 3
1824 1.257 1 1874 -.697 12 1924 1.563 20 1974 -.225 26
1825 .924 1 1875 -.613 12 1925 .537 20 1975 -2.516 26 7
1826 .865 1 1876 -.456 12 1926 .289 20 1976 .352 26
1827 1.036 1 1877 .510 12 1927 .566 20 1977 .276 26
1828 -.852 1 1878 .159 12 1928 .103 20 1978 .395 26
1829 1.341 1 1879 .986 12 1929 -.927 20 1979 .690 26
1830 .707 1 1880 .703 12 1930 -1.214 21 1980 -1.069 26 1
1831 -1.322 1 1881 .397 12 1931 -.347 21 1981 .465 26
1832 .669 1 1882 -.852 13 1932 -1.144 21 1982 .691 26
1833 -.639 1 1883 -1.249 13 1933 .506 21 1983 1.174 26
1834 -1.288 1 1884 -1.471 13 1934 -.424 21 1984 1.244 26
1835 -1.016 1 1885 -1.024 13 1935 -.185 21 1985 -.106 26
1836 -1.202 1 1886 .345 13 1936 -.459 22 1986 -2.206 26 7
1837 -1.217 1 1887 .595 13 1937 .975 22 1987 .073 26
1838 -1.466 1 1888 -.315 13 1938 1.781 23 1988 .045 26
1839 -.384 1 1889 -.778 13 1939 .962 23 1989 .656 26
1840 -.422 1 1890 1.787 14 1940 -.207 23 1990 .435 26
1841 -1.118 1 1891 -.811 14 1941 -1.502 24 1991 1.186 26
1842 .586 1 1892 .609 15 1942 .417 24 1992 .028 26
1843 .114 1 1893 .861 16 1943 .590 24 1993 1.430 26
1844 .772 1 1894 -.274 16 1944 .064 24 1994 1.052 26
1845 .856 1 1895 .995 16 1945 .740 24 1995 -.743 26 4
1846 1.342 1 1896 .543 16 1946 -.413 24 1996 .667 26
1847 .958 3 1897 .300 17 1947 -1.844 24 1997 -2.476 26 7
1848 -.126 3 1898 1.381 18 1948 -1.012 25 1998 .550 26
1849 .784 4 1899 -1.803 18 1949 -1.832 25 1999 -.699 26
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 4
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value
1850---------D 1900----@ 1950-e 2000--c
1851---------E 1901--c 1951--c 2001g
1852----a 1902--------C 1952-------B 2002--c
1853---------D 1903f 1953---------D 2003------A
1854------B 1904----@ 1954-------B 2004------B
1855m 1905-----A 1955---------D 2005--c
1856--------C 1906--c 1956----------F 2006------B
1857-d 1907---b 1957--------C 2007---------D
1858----a 1908-----A 1958-------B 2008----------G
1859------A 1909-------B 1959-----@ 2009---b
1860--c 1910---b 1960---b 2010--c
1811----------G 1861------B 1911---------E 1961-----@ 2011-----A
1812------B 1862---b 1912---b 1962--c 2012----------E
1813--------C 1863-d 1913--------C 1963-------C 2013---------D
1814---b 1864--c 1914n 1964---------E 2014------B
1815-----@ 1865-----@ 1915--------C 1965----------F 2015--------C
1816---b 1866--------C 1916-----A 1966---b 2016-----A
1817-d 1867g 1917-----@ 1967-------C 2017----a
1818--c 1868-------B 1918----a 1968-e 2018-------C
1819-d 1869------B 1919--c 1969-----A 2019-d
1820-d 1870----------F 1920--c 1970--c 2020l
1821-e 1871----------E 1921------A 1971-d 2021-----@
1822-------C 1872----------F 1922---------E 1972---b
1823----------F 1873-----@ 1923----------F 1973h
1824----------E 1874--c 1924----------F 1974----a
1825---------D 1875---b 1925------B 1975j
1826--------C 1876---b 1926-----A 1976------A
1827---------D 1877------B 1927-------B 1977-----A
1828--c 1878-----A 1928-----@ 1978------B
1829----------E 1879---------D 1929-d 1979-------C
1830--------C 1880--------C 1930-e 1980-d
1831-e 1881------B 1931---a 1981------B
1832-------C 1882--c 1932-e 1982--------C
1833--c 1883-e 1933------B 1983---------E
1834-e 1884f 1934---b 1984----------E
1835-d 1885-d 1935----a 1985----@
1836-e 1886------A 1936---b 1986i
1837-e 1887-------B 1937---------D 1987-----@
1838f 1888----a 1938----------G 1988-----@
1839---b 1889--c 1939---------D 1989-------C
1840---b 1890----------G 1940----a 1990------B
1841-d 1891--c 1941f 1991---------E
1842-------B 1892-------B 1942------B 1992-----@
1843-----@ 1893--------C 1943-------B 1993----------F
1844--------C 1894----a 1944-----@ 1994---------D
1845--------C 1895---------D 1945--------C 1995--c
1846----------E 1896-------B 1946---b 1996-------C
1847---------D 1897------A 1947g 1997j
1848----a 1898----------F 1948-d 1998-------B
1849--------C 1899g 1949g 1999--c
PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Correlations of 32-year dated segments, lagged 16 years
Flags: A = correlation under .4093 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position
Seq Series Time_span 1840 1856 1872 1888 1904 1920 1936 1952 1968 1984 2000
1871 1887 1903 1919 1935 1951 1967 1983 1999 2015 2031
--- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
1 pub03x 1873 2021 .79 .83 .76 .85 .89 .85 .86 .88 .80
2 pub05x 1938 2021 .80 .85 .93 .91 .92
3 pub06x 1890 2021 .88 .82 .78 .75 .79 .91 .90 .85
4 pub07x 1882 2021 .78 .87 .88 .79 .85 .84 .89 .90 .80
5 pub10x 1948 2021 .70 .74 .83 .92 .90
6 pub20x 1850 2021 .87 .79 .84 .90 .82 .85 .86 .72 .68 .69 .79
7 pub21x 1892 2021 .85 .81 .81 .82 .83 .91 .83 .77
8 pub25x 1847 2021 .84 .82 .86 .93 .92 .89 .88 .56 .62 .88 .90
9 pub27x 1867 2021 .59 .73 .93 .88 .80 .74 .46 .47 .65 .71
10 pub28x 1849 2021 .88 .86 .87 .88 .92 .95 .84 .53 .67 .84 .85
11 pub29x 1865 2021 .81 .79 .89 .87 .86 .73 .39B .68 .89 .94
12 pub30x 1857 2021 .86 .87 .87 .75 .73 .82 .81 .83 .85 .88
13 pub34x 1811 2021 .94 .87 .79 .76 .82 .86 .88 .86 .87 .85 .84
14 pub37x 1847 2021 .74 .86 .88 .84 .83 .84 .82 .89 .92 .89 .87
15 pub39x 1897 2021 .85 .80 .73 .86 .79 .44 .54 .61
16 pub40x 1874 2021 .83 .87 .87 .82 .86 .83 .85 .88 .88
17 pub42x 1909 2021 .89 .82 .83 .88 .85 .81 .78
18 pub43x 1893 2021 .90 .89 .92 .88 .82 .89 .87 .81
19 pub44x 1918 2021 .79 .77 .73 .73 .82 .85 .87
20 pub46x 1898 2021 .78 .93 .91 .90 .89 .88 .92 .83
21 pub50x 1930 2021 .62 .79 .86 .90 .93 .90
22 pub52x 1951 2021 .72 .73 .86 .82 .82
23 pub57x 1854 2021 .83 .81 .81 .80 .79 .88 .90 .87 .88 .86 .87
24 pub582x 1936 2021 .75 .86 .89 .86 .76
25 pub59x 1874 2021 .57 .78 .82 .82 .86 .89 .92 .92 .84
26 puub32x 1941 2021 .87 .86 .87 .89 .84
Av segment correlation .85 .81 .80 .86 .84 .82 .82 .77 .81 .85 .83
PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear:
[A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 32-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline,
at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated
[B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series
Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value
[C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series
[D] Absent rings (zero values)
[E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year
====================================================================================================================================
pub03x 1873 to 2021 149 years Series 1
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .809) is:
Lower 1914> -.011 1892< -.008 2020> -.008 1975< -.006 1875> -.005 1882< -.004 Higher 1986 .007 1890 .005
[E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1875 +3.2 SD; 1914 +3.0 SD; 1975 -7.6 SD; 2020 +4.0 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub05x 1938 to 2021 84 years Series 2
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .877) is:
Lower 1957< -.016 1941> -.005 1939< -.004 1981< -.003 2010> -.003 2002< -.002 Higher 1997 .013 2020 .010
====================================================================================================================================
pub06x 1890 to 2021 132 years Series 3
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .832) is:
Lower 1962< -.022 1931< -.006 2020> -.006 1902< -.005 1941> -.004 1923< -.004 Higher 1914 .015 1997 .010
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1931 -4.6 SD; 1962 -5.0 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub07x 1882 to 2021 140 years Series 4
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .825) is:
Lower 2020> -.014 1882> -.012 2010> -.007 1979< -.005 2021< -.005 1902< -.005 Higher 1914 .020 1899 .008
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1882 +3.6 SD; 2020 +3.8 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub10x 1948 to 2021 74 years Series 5
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .826) is:
Lower 1973> -.030 1978< -.012 1949< -.010 1972> -.008 1977< -.007 2014< -.006 Higher 1997 .024 1986 .012
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1972 +3.2 SD; 1973 +5.8 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub20x 1850 to 2021 172 years Series 6
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .827) is:
Lower 1967< -.008 2020< -.007 1881< -.006 1924< -.005 2007< -.004 1985> -.004 Higher 1855 .012 1914 .005
[D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1975 -2.516 26 7
1986 -2.206 26 7
1995 -.743 26 4
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1975 -5.6 SD; 2020 -5.7 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub21x 1892 to 2021 130 years Series 7
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .803) is:
Lower 2020> -.015 2015> -.009 1927< -.007 1897< -.005 1936> -.004 1946> -.003 Higher 1947 .005 1914 .005
[D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1975 -2.516 26 7
1986 -2.206 26 7
[E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1975 -5.4 SD; 1986 -5.8 SD; 2015 +4.4 SD; 2020 +4.2 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub25x 1847 to 2021 175 years Series 8
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .828) is:
Lower 1975> -.023 1980> -.011 1848< -.010 1979< -.008 1984< -.004 1976< -.004 Higher 1914 .015 1855 .011
[D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1986 -2.206 26 7
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1848 -4.8 SD; 1975 +6.7 SD; 1986 -6.8 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub27x 1867 to 2021 155 years Series 9
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .666) is:
Lower 1959< -.030 1995> -.015 1971< -.014 1980> -.011 1874> -.009 1997> -.008 Higher 1914 .020 1986 .016
[D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1959 .054 26 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow
1966 -.457 26 2
1971 -1.012 26 2
1986 -2.206 26 7
[E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1874 +4.4 SD; 1959 -6.0 SD; 1966 -6.3 SD; 1971 -7.6 SD; 1980 +3.4 SD; 1995 +3.8 SD; 1997 +4.0 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub28x 1849 to 2021 173 years Series 10
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .836) is:
Lower 1980> -.015 1995< -.007 1970< -.005 1999> -.004 1901> -.004 1857> -.003 Higher 1855 .006 1899 .005
[D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1971 -1.012 26 2
1973 -1.898 26 3
1995 -.743 26 4
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1855 -6.5 SD; 1980 +4.1 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub29x 1865 to 2021 157 years Series 11
[A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10
--------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
1952 1983 -2 .11 -.17 -.13 -.27 -.18 -.30 .07 -.16 .41*-.07 .39| .01 .12 .40 -.20 .40 -.18 .35 .01 -.11 .10
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .834) is:
Lower 1959< -.011 1971> -.009 1963< -.006 1960> -.005 1962> -.005 1899> -.004 Higher 1914 .019 2020 .009
1952 to 1983 segment:
Lower 1971> -.048 1959< -.037 1960> -.030 1962> -.029 1963< -.028 1980> -.022 Higher 1975 .094 1973 .050
[D] 7 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1959 .054 26 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow
1966 -.457 26 2
1973 -1.898 26 3
1975 -2.516 26 7
1986 -2.206 26 7
1995 -.743 26 4
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1959 -5.0 SD; 1971 +3.9 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub30x 1857 to 2021 165 years Series 12
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .824) is:
Lower 1929< -.012 1924< -.006 1995< -.003 1972> -.003 1905< -.003 1865> -.003 Higher 1914 .007 2020 .004
[D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1975 -2.516 26 7
1995 -.743 26 4
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1929 -5.8 SD; 1975 -6.8 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub34x 1811 to 2021 211 years Series 13
[*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1811 to 1846 -- not matched by another series
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .841) is:
Lower 1899< -.011 2016> -.007 1903> -.005 1896> -.004 2014< -.004 1989< -.004 Higher 1855 .009 2020 .004
[D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1975 -2.516 26 7
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1899 -7.5 SD; 1975 -5.8 SD; 2016 +3.1 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub37x 1847 to 2021 175 years Series 14
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .832) is:
Lower 1903> -.008 1848> -.008 1855> -.007 1852< -.004 2010< -.004 2007< -.004 Higher 1997 .009 1914 .006
[E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1903 +3.4 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub39x 1897 to 2021 125 years Series 15
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .770) is:
Lower 1997> -.023 1995> -.016 1929> -.009 2019> -.008 1999> -.006 1931> -.006 Higher 1914 .033 1986 .012
[D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1973 -1.898 26 3
1975 -2.516 26 7
1980 -1.069 26 1
1986 -2.206 26 7
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1929 +3.3 SD; 1931 +3.9 SD; 1997 +4.5 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub40x 1874 to 2021 148 years Series 16
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .861) is:
Lower 1900> -.005 1905> -.004 1891> -.004 1931> -.003 2017> -.003 1944< -.003 Higher 1914 .013 2020 .007
[D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1900 +3.5 SD; 1905 +3.4 SD; 1914 -6.9 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub42x 1909 to 2021 113 years Series 17
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .864) is:
Lower 1999> -.011 1939< -.006 2019< -.006 1936> -.006 1929> -.005 1998< -.004 Higher 1914 .019 1997 .006
[D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1997 -2.476 26 7
====================================================================================================================================
pub43x 1893 to 2021 129 years Series 18
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .870) is:
Lower 2020> -.015 1975< -.010 1903> -.005 1966> -.003 1970> -.003 1962> -.003 Higher 1997 .009 1986 .006
[D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent
1975 -2.516 26 7
1986 -2.206 26 7
1997 -2.476 26 7
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1903 +3.3 SD; 1975 -5.5 SD; 2020 +3.1 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub44x 1918 to 2021 104 years Series 19
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .807) is:
Lower 1973> -.012 1977< -.009 2010> -.008 1940> -.007 1966> -.006 1950> -.005 Higher 2020 .014 1997 .006
[E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1997 +3.2 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub46x 1898 to 2021 124 years Series 20
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .823) is:
Lower 1903< -.032 2021< -.017 1899> -.014 1977< -.005 1901> -.005 1995> -.005 Higher 1914 .021 1997 .010
[E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1899 +3.4 SD; 1901 +3.3 SD; 1903 -6.1 SD; 2021 -5.4 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub50x 1930 to 2021 92 years Series 21
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .818) is:
Lower 1930> -.022 1934< -.008 2019> -.008 1940< -.007 1935> -.006 1942< -.005 Higher 1997 .016 2020 .011
[E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1930 +4.9 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub52x 1951 to 2021 71 years Series 22
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .775) is:
Lower 1966< -.031 2019> -.020 2013< -.011 2000> -.007 2002> -.006 1957> -.006 Higher 2020 .032 1997 .008
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1966 -5.1 SD; 2019 +3.6 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub57x 1854 to 2021 168 years Series 23
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .838) is:
Lower 1896< -.007 1860> -.006 2016< -.005 1895> -.005 1995> -.005 1914> -.004 Higher 2020 .007 1997 .006
[E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1855 +3.1 SD; 1895 +4.1 SD; 1914 +3.3 SD
====================================================================================================================================
pub582x 1936 to 2021 86 years Series 24
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .787) is:
Lower 2020> -.015 1947> -.012 1939< -.011 1937< -.009 2009> -.009 2017> -.009 Higher 1997 .023 1986 .013
====================================================================================================================================
pub59x 1874 to 2021 148 years Series 25
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .782) is:
Lower 1882> -.021 1883< -.020 2020> -.009 1899> -.009 1896< -.008 1910> -.006 Higher 1914 .021 1997 .010
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1882 +5.9 SD; 1910 +3.2 SD
====================================================================================================================================
puub32x 1941 to 2021 81 years Series 26
[B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .845) is:
Lower 2020> -.021 1994< -.008 2016< -.006 1975< -.005 1976< -.004 1972> -.004 Higher 1997 .019 1973 .005
[E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year
1975 -4.6 SD; 2020 +3.3 SD
====================================================================================================================================
PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 11:53 Tue 08 Oct 2024 Page 6
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Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\
No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR
Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr ()
--- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- --
1 pub03x 1873 2021 149 9 0 .809 .76 2.23 .401 .534 .382 2.68 .433 .011 2
2 pub05x 1938 2021 84 5 0 .877 .50 1.02 .214 .614 .300 2.69 .492 -.047 1
3 pub06x 1890 2021 132 8 0 .832 .53 1.32 .267 .720 .302 2.68 .470 -.055 1
4 pub07x 1882 2021 140 9 0 .825 .45 1.63 .313 .723 .352 2.85 .496 -.071 1
5 pub10x 1948 2021 74 5 0 .826 1.46 2.93 .475 .434 .298 2.68 .570 -.051 1
6 pub20x 1850 2021 172 11 0 .827 .45 1.78 .309 .712 .428 2.60 .353 -.039 2
7 pub21x 1892 2021 130 8 0 .803 .29 1.71 .201 .494 .471 2.91 .441 -.071 1
8 pub25x 1847 2021 175 11 0 .828 .46 2.27 .351 .745 .434 2.71 .436 -.107 1
9 pub27x 1867 2021 155 10 0 .666 .29 1.01 .178 .505 .526 2.66 .487 -.026 2
10 pub28x 1849 2021 173 11 0 .836 .58 2.68 .456 .752 .496 2.54 .372 -.041 2
11 pub29x 1865 2021 157 10 1 .834 .51 1.98 .353 .706 .534 2.62 .406 -.066 1
12 pub30x 1857 2021 165 10 0 .824 .58 2.11 .371 .707 .444 2.78 .410 -.049 3
13 pub34x 1811 2021 211 11 0 .841 .34 1.33 .225 .748 .404 2.52 .367 -.090 3
14 pub37x 1847 2021 175 11 0 .832 .86 2.64 .508 .771 .340 2.78 .500 -.038 2
15 pub39x 1897 2021 125 8 0 .770 .32 .81 .174 .494 .504 2.45 .415 -.028 1
16 pub40x 1874 2021 148 9 0 .861 .53 2.03 .315 .737 .378 2.54 .359 -.035 2
17 pub42x 1909 2021 113 7 0 .864 .47 1.30 .258 .663 .410 2.54 .384 -.051 1
18 pub43x 1893 2021 129 8 0 .870 .53 2.14 .349 .742 .458 2.64 .438 -.097 1
19 pub44x 1918 2021 104 7 0 .807 .89 2.99 .630 .907 .238 2.54 .420 -.088 1
20 pub46x 1898 2021 124 8 0 .823 .78 1.78 .326 .565 .334 2.49 .396 -.097 1
21 pub50x 1930 2021 92 6 0 .818 .87 2.03 .384 .516 .377 2.53 .422 -.033 1
22 pub52x 1951 2021 71 5 0 .775 .47 1.38 .308 .739 .427 2.73 .501 -.072 1
23 pub57x 1854 2021 168 11 0 .838 .49 1.45 .249 .593 .364 3.00 .452 -.057 1
24 pub582x 1936 2021 86 5 0 .787 1.00 1.79 .384 .624 .280 2.62 .516 .002 1
25 pub59x 1874 2021 148 9 0 .782 .77 2.87 .570 .846 .343 2.67 .468 -.116 1
26 puub32x 1941 2021 81 5 0 .845 1.00 2.52 .521 .585 .454 2.59 .499 -.051 1
--- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- --
Total or mean: 3481 217 1 .819 .59 2.99 .345 .671 .403 3.00 .434 -.058
- = [ COFECHA PUR COF ] = -